Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua Betting tips for October 1 in Paraguay Cup
| 📅 1/10/2024 18:00 |
 Sportivo Iteno1.57 |
X 3.87 |
Carapegua  4.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua:
🔮 Sportivo Iteno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sportivo Iteno, you can win up to $785.00!
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Important information for your tip for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carapegua in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0. |
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Analysis from Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua for the Paraguay Cup – 1 of October
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🏟️ Sportivo Iteno X Carapegua – Paraguay Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193838 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua
Is it worth betting on Sportivo Iteno?
🔵 Sportivo Iteno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $393.30;
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$83.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $430.50
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$419.50.
Is betting on Carapegua worth it?
🔴 Carapegua: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $608.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sportivo Iteno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sportivo Iteno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sportivo Iteno. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Iteno x Carapegua
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
