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Home » Predictions » Others » Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense Betting tips for April 15 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 21h00 Paraguay Division Profesional
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense Betting tips for April 15 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
📅 15/4/2025
21:00
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
2.75
X
3.00
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Luqueno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Trinidense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sportivo Trinidense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sportivo Trinidense, Sportivo Luqueno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sportivo Luqueno conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sportivo Trinidense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 15 of April

🏟️ Sportivo Luqueno X Sportivo Trinidense – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 15 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Sportivo Luqueno – Winning probability: 30.26% | Fair line: 3.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.06% | Fair line: 3.03
🔴 Sportivo Trinidense – Winning probability: 36.68% | Fair line: 2.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sportivo Luqueno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo Trinidense.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304535 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense

Is it worth betting on Sportivo Luqueno?

🔵 Sportivo Luqueno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sportivo Trinidense?

🔴 Sportivo Trinidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $536.50
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$93.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sportivo Luqueno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sportivo Luqueno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sportivo Luqueno.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sportivo Trinidense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Luqueno x Sportivo Trinidense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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