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Home » Predictions » Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado Betting tips for March 9 in Argentina Regional League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 20h30 Argentina Regional League
Sportivo Penarol Sportivo Penarol
PREDICTION Atletico Marquesado Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Atletico Marquesado Atletico Marquesado
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado Betting tips for March 9 in Argentina Regional League

Our betting tip for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
20:30
Sportivo Penarol Sportivo Penarol
3.64
X
3.21
Atletico Marquesado Atletico Marquesado
1.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado:

🔮 Atletico Marquesado wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Marquesado, you can win up to $980.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Marquesado in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sportivo Penarol scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Marquesado conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado for the Argentina Regional League – 9 of March

🏟️ Sportivo Penarol X Atletico Marquesado – Argentina Regional League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Sportivo Penarol – Winning probability: 36.68% | Fair line: 2.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.28% | Fair line: 5.19
🔴 Atletico Marquesado – Winning probability: 44.04% | Fair line: 2.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sportivo Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sportivo Penarol and Atletico Marquesado.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277528 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado

Should you bet on Sportivo Penarol?

🔵 Sportivo Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $976.80
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$346.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $419.90;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$390.10.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Marquesado?

🔴 Atletico Marquesado: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $422.40;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$137.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sportivo Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Sportivo Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Sportivo Penarol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Marquesado.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Penarol x Atletico Marquesado

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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