SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana Betting tips for January 11 in San Marino Campionato
| 📅 11/1/2026 14:00 |
 SS Murata3.90 |
X 3.40 |
Juvenes/Dogana  1.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana:
🔮 Juvenes/Dogana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juvenes/Dogana, you can win up to $900.00!
The main points for the tip for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana:
👉 If you had bet $100 on SS Murata in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juvenes/Dogana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Juvenes/Dogana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Juvenes/Dogana, SS Murata scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Juvenes/Dogana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, SS Murata conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Juvenes/Dogana has not lost any of them.
👉 SS Murata has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Juvenes/Dogana playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for SS Murata as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana for the San Marino Campionato – 11 of January
🏟️ SS Murata X Juvenes/Dogana – San Marino Campionato
📅 11 of January, 2026 – 14:00
🔵 SS Murata – Winning probability: 15.19% | Fair line: 6.58
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.14% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Juvenes/Dogana – Winning probability: 61.67% | Fair line: 1.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SS Murata
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1461290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on SS Murata worth it?
🔵 SS Murata: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.
Is it worth betting on Juvenes/Dogana?
🔴 Juvenes/Dogana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $496.00;
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$116.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SS Murata
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 SS Murata and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 SS Murata.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SS Murata x Juvenes/Dogana
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
