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Home » Predictions » Others » SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne Betting tips for January 11 in San Marino Campionato
Sunday, 11 January 2026, 14h00 San Marino Campionato
SS San Giovanni SS San Giovanni
PREDICTION Tre Penne Wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Tre Penne Tre Penne
ODD: @1.28
Bonus 100% up to $500
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SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne Betting tips for January 11 in San Marino Campionato

Our betting tip for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne, Sunday, 11/1/2026
📅 11/1/2026
14:00
SS San Giovanni SS San Giovanni
8.50
X
4.50
Tre Penne Tre Penne
1.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne:

🔮 Tre Penne wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tre Penne, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SS San Giovanni in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tre Penne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-145.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tre Penne, SS San Giovanni scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, SS San Giovanni conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, SS San Giovanni conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tre Penne.

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Summary

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Analysis from SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne for the San Marino Campionato – 11 of January

🏟️ SS San Giovanni X Tre Penne – San Marino Campionato
📅 11 of January, 2026 – 14:00
🔵 SS San Giovanni – Winning probability: 1.19% | Fair line: 83.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.31% | Fair line: 12.03
🔴 Tre Penne – Winning probability: 90.49% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 SS San Giovanni
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Tips for the Match Odds market for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1461290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on SS San Giovanni?

🔵 SS San Giovanni: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$915.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on Tre Penne?

🔴 Tre Penne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $252.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 SS San Giovanni
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 SS San Giovanni and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 SS San Giovanni.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SS San Giovanni x Tre Penne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves