St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights Betting tips for July 6 in Australia NPL Victoria

Our betting tip for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights, Sunday, 6/7/2025

📅 6/7/2025 06:00

St Albans Saints 1.95

X 3.84

Melbourne Knights 3.07

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights

Some important points for the tip for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights:

👉 If you had bet $100 on St Albans Saints in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Knights in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Melbourne Knights scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Melbourne Knights matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, St Albans Saints conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Melbourne Knights conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, St Albans Saints conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Melbourne Knights.

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Analysis from St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights for the Australia NPL Victoria – 6 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1348834 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights

Is it worth betting on St Albans Saints?

🔵 St Albans Saints: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $389.50;
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $539.60;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$270.40.

Is betting on Melbourne Knights worth it?

🔴 Melbourne Knights: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $828.00
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$228.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 St Albans Saints
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 St Albans Saints, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 St Albans Saints.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Melbourne Knights.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Albans Saints x Melbourne Knights

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.