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St Albans x Weston Super Mare Betting tips for November 21 in England National League South

Our betting tip for St Albans x Weston Super Mare, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
πŸ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
St Albans St Albans
2.04
X
3.40
Weston Super Mare Weston Super Mare
3.06

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Albans x Weston Super Mare:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for St Albans x Weston Super Mare

Some important points for the tip for St Albans x Weston Super Mare:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Albans in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Weston Super Mare in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Weston Super Mare, St Albans scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, St Albans conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Weston Super Mare conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ St Albans has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Weston Super Mare.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Weston Super Mare as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for St Albans x Weston Super Mare

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Summary

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Analysis from St Albans x Weston Super Mare for the England National League South – 21 of November

🏟️ St Albans X Weston Super Mare – England National League South
πŸ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ St Albans – Winning probability: 35.76% | Fair line: 2.8
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.57% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Weston Super Mare – Winning probability: 35.67% | Fair line: 2.8
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 St Albans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on St Albans x Weston Super Mare is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Albans x Weston Super Mare

Is it worth betting on St Albans?

πŸ”΅ St Albans: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $374.40;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$265.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Weston Super Mare?

πŸ”΄ Weston Super Mare: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $741.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$101.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St Albans x Weston Super Mare

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 St Albans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Albans x Weston Super Mare

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 St Albans, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 St Albans. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Albans x Weston Super Mare

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves