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Home » Predictions » Others » St Gallen x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 12 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Conference League
St Gallen St Gallen
PREDICTION Guimaraes Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Guimaraes Guimaraes
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction!

St Gallen x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for St Gallen x Guimaraes, Thursday, 12/12/2024
📅 12/12/2024
20:00
St Gallen St Gallen
2.70
X
3.30
Guimaraes Guimaraes
2.42

Our algorithm has selected this tip for St Gallen x Guimaraes:

🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $1210.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for St Gallen x Guimaraes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on St Gallen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Guimaraes matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on St Gallen x Guimaraes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St Gallen x Guimaraes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from St Gallen x Guimaraes for the UEFA Conference League – 12 of December

🏟️ St Gallen X Guimaraes – UEFA Conference League
📅 12 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 St Gallen – Winning probability: 23.02% | Fair line: 4.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.69% | Fair line: 3.75
🔴 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 50.29% | Fair line: 1.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Gallen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Gallen x Guimaraes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235879 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Gallen x Guimaraes

Should you bet on St Gallen?

🔵 St Gallen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $391.00
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$379.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $621.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on Guimaraes?

🔴 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $710.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$210.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St Gallen x Guimaraes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Gallen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Gallen x Guimaraes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 St Gallen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 St Gallen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Guimaraes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Gallen x Guimaraes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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