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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» St Gallen x Lugano Betting tips for February 5 in Switzerland Super League
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 19h30 Switzerland Super League
St Gallen St Gallen
PREDICTION No tip
Lugano Lugano
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St Gallen x Lugano Betting tips for February 5 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for St Gallen x Lugano, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
πŸ“… 5/2/2025
19:30
St Gallen St Gallen
2.41
X
3.40
Lugano Lugano
2.69

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Gallen x Lugano:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for St Gallen x Lugano

Important information for your tip for St Gallen x Lugano:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Gallen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lugano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $569.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, St Gallen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lugano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lugano, St Gallen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 St Gallen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Lugano matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between St Gallen x Lugano, with St Gallen as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, St Gallen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lugano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, St Gallen conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lugano.
πŸ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Lugano won the last 3 head-to-head matches St GallenΒ΄s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from St Gallen x Lugano for the Switzerland Super League – 5 of February

🏟️ St Gallen X Lugano – Switzerland Super League
πŸ“… 5 of February, 2025 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ St Gallen – Winning probability: 38.57% | Fair line: 2.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.61% | Fair line: 4.24
πŸ”΄ Lugano – Winning probability: 37.82% | Fair line: 2.64
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 St Gallen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on St Gallen x Lugano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257659 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St Gallen x Lugano

Is it a good idea to bet on St Gallen?

πŸ”΅ St Gallen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $549.90
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$60.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lugano?

πŸ”΄ Lugano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $642.20
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$22.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St Gallen x Lugano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 St Gallen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Gallen x Lugano

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 St Gallen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 St Gallen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lugano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Gallen x Lugano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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