📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal
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Analysis from Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ Sta Lucia FC X CSD Municipal – Guatemala Liga Nacional
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sta Lucia FC and CSD Municipal.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal
Is betting on Sta Lucia FC worth it?
🔵 Sta Lucia FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $477.30;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $598.30
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$91.70.
Should you bet on CSD Municipal?
🔴 CSD Municipal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $611.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$129.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sta Lucia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sta Lucia FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sta Lucia FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sta Lucia FC x CSD Municipal
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves