Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis Betting tips for February 8 in CAF Champions League
| 📅 8/2/2026 16:00 |
Stade Malien2.78 |
X 3.04 |
Esperance de Tunis ![]() 2.40 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
Some important points for the tip for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Stade Malien in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Esperance de Tunis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Esperance de Tunis scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Stade Malien matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Esperance de Tunis conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis for the CAF Champions League – 8 of February
🏟️ Stade Malien X Esperance de Tunis – CAF Champions League
📅 8 of February, 2026 – 16:00
🔵 Stade Malien – Winning probability: 23.82% | Fair line: 4.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.53% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 Esperance de Tunis – Winning probability: 47.65% | Fair line: 2.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Stade Malien
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis (1X2, handicap and goals).
📊 The odds for Stade Malien had a great Raised of 11.11%: the market opened with odds of @2.7 for Stade Malien and now the odds are @3.0.
📊 With a variation of 3.23%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The odds for Esperance de Tunis had a great Decreased of -10.42%: the market opened with odds of @2.4 for Esperance de Tunis and now the odds are @2.15.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at 0.00 is now at 0.25 for Stade Malien.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475875 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is betting on Stade Malien worth it?
🔵 Stade Malien: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $427.20;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$332.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $591.60
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.40.
Is it worth betting on Esperance de Tunis?
🔴 Esperance de Tunis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $672.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$152.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Stade Malien
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Stade Malien and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Stade Malien.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Esperance de Tunis.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis
Which team is the favourite in Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Esperance de Tunis, with a win probability of 47.65%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Esperance de Tunis has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 47.65%. If you bet on Esperance de Tunis, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Stade Malien beating Esperance de Tunis today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Stade Malien to win approximately 24 of them against Esperance de Tunis.
What are the chances of Esperance de Tunis beating Stade Malien today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Esperance de Tunis to win approximately 48 of them against Stade Malien.
Which team should I bet on: Stade Malien or Esperance de Tunis?
Our analysis did not reveal a clear positive expected value pick for this fixture. Gamble responsibly and follow good bankroll rules: keep stakes below 2% of your capital!
How much is Stade Malien paying today? See what you can win by betting on Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis:
The average odds for Stade Malien to beat Esperance de Tunis today are 2.78. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2780.00 if Stade Malien wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Esperance de Tunis paying today? See what you can win by betting on Stade Malien x Esperance de Tunis:
The odds for Esperance de Tunis to beat Stade Malien today are around 2.40. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2400.00 if Esperance de Tunis wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Stade Malien