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Home » Predictions » Others » Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce Betting tips for November 8 in Poland I Liga
Saturday, 08 November 2025, 18h30 Poland I Liga
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
PREDICTION No tip
MKP Pogon Siedlce MKP Pogon Siedlce
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Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce Betting tips for November 8 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce, Saturday, 8/11/2025
📅 8/11/2025
18:30
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
2.40
X
3.40
MKP Pogon Siedlce MKP Pogon Siedlce
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce

Some important points for the tip for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Mielec in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on MKP Pogon Siedlce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Stal Mielec scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, MKP Pogon Siedlce scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Stal Mielec matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Stal Mielec conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, MKP Pogon Siedlce conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, MKP Pogon Siedlce has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for Stal Mielec as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce for the Poland I Liga – 8 of November

🏟️ Stal Mielec X MKP Pogon Siedlce – Poland I Liga
📅 8 of November, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Stal Mielec – Winning probability: 41.78% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.87% | Fair line: 4.37
🔴 MKP Pogon Siedlce – Winning probability: 35.35% | Fair line: 2.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stal Mielec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1434443 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce

Is it worth betting on Stal Mielec?

🔵 Stal Mielec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is it worth betting on MKP Pogon Siedlce?

🔴 MKP Pogon Siedlce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $542.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stal Mielec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Stal Mielec and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Stal Mielec.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Stal Mielec.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stal Mielec x MKP Pogon Siedlce

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves