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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71 Betting tips for September 30 in Poland I Liga
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h00 Poland I Liga
Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow
PREDICTION No tip
GKS Tychy 71 GKS Tychy 71
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Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71 Betting tips for September 30 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
13:00
Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow
1.98
X
3.40
GKS Tychy 71 GKS Tychy 71
3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71

The main points for the tip for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stal Rzeszow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on GKS Tychy 71 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Stal Rzeszow matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Stal Rzeszow conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71 for the Poland I Liga – 30 of September

🏟️ Stal Rzeszow X GKS Tychy 71 – Poland I Liga
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Stal Rzeszow – Winning probability: 50.51% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ GKS Tychy 71 – Winning probability: 20.73% | Fair line: 4.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stal Rzeszow
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71

Is betting on Stal Rzeszow worth it?

πŸ”΅ Stal Rzeszow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $499.80
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$9.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on GKS Tychy 71?

πŸ”΄ GKS Tychy 71: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$317.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stal Rzeszow
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Stal Rzeszow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Stal Rzeszow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Stal Rzeszow.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stal Rzeszow x GKS Tychy 71

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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