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15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Stenhousemuir1.70 |
X 3.42 |
Cowdenbeath  4.58 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1712.50!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath
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Analysis from Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath for the Scotland League Two – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Stenhousemuir X Cowdenbeath – Scotland League Two |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath
Is it a good idea to bet on Stenhousemuir?
๐ต Stenhousemuir: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $364.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$116.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $776.00
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$96.00.
Is betting on Cowdenbeath worth it?
๐ด Cowdenbeath: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $572.80
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$267.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stenhousemuir
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Stenhousemuir, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Stenhousemuir.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Cowdenbeath.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stenhousemuir x Cowdenbeath
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
