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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Stevenage x Birmingham Betting tips for February 4 in England EFL Trophy
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England EFL Trophy
Stevenage Stevenage
PREDICTION Birmingham Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Birmingham Birmingham
ODD: @1.92 Don't miss this prediction!

Stevenage x Birmingham Betting tips for February 4 in England EFL Trophy

Our betting tip for Stevenage x Birmingham, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 4/2/2025
19:45
Stevenage Stevenage
3.60
X
3.40
Birmingham Birmingham
1.92

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Stevenage x Birmingham:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Birmingham wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $960.00!

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The main points for the tip for Stevenage x Birmingham:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stevenage in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Birmingham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Stevenage scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Birmingham scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Stevenage matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Birmingham has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Stevenage x Birmingham for the England EFL Trophy – 4 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Stevenage X Birmingham – England EFL Trophy
๐Ÿ“… 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Stevenage – Winning probability: 18.27% | Fair line: 5.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.49% | Fair line: 5.72
๐Ÿ”ด Birmingham – Winning probability: 64.23% | Fair line: 1.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stevenage
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Stevenage x Birmingham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256585 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stevenage x Birmingham

Is betting on Stevenage worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Stevenage: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$352.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$422.00.

Is it worth betting on Birmingham?

๐Ÿ”ด Birmingham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $588.80
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$228.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stevenage x Birmingham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stevenage
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stevenage x Birmingham

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Stevenage and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Stevenage.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stevenage x Birmingham

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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