Stevenage x Birmingham Betting tips for February 4 in England EFL Trophy
| 📅 4/2/2025 19:45 |
 Stevenage3.60 |
X 3.40 |
Birmingham  1.95 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Stevenage x Birmingham:
🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $975.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Stevenage x Birmingham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stevenage in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0. |
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Analysis from Stevenage x Birmingham for the England EFL Trophy – 4 of February
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🏟️ Stevenage X Birmingham – England EFL Trophy |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Stevenage and Birmingham.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Stevenage x Birmingham
Should you bet on Stevenage?
🔵 Stevenage: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$422.00.
Is it worth betting on Birmingham?
🔴 Birmingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $617.50;
- And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$267.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stevenage x Birmingham
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stevenage
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stevenage x Birmingham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Stevenage and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Stevenage.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Birmingham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stevenage x Birmingham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
