π
18/1/2022 19:45 |
![]() 2.13 |
X 3.25 |
Crawley Town ![]() 3.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stevenage x Crawley Town:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Stevenage x Crawley Town
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Stevenage x Crawley Town
Looking for another bookie to bet on Stevenage x Crawley Town?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Stevenage x Crawley Town, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Stevenage x Crawley Town for the England League 2 – 18 of January
ποΈ Stevenage X Crawley Town – England League 2 |
When the best bet on Stevenage x Crawley Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289715 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Stevenage x Crawley Town
Is it a good idea to bet on Stevenage?
π΅ Stevenage: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $533.45
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$3.45, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$25.00.
Should you bet on Crawley Town?
π΄ Crawley Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$241.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stevenage x Crawley Town
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Stevenage
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stevenage x Crawley Town
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Stevenage and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Stevenage.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Crawley Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stevenage x Crawley Town
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves