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Home » Predictions » Others » Stevenage x Mansfield Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England FA Cup
Stevenage Stevenage
PREDICTION Mansfield Wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Mansfield Mansfield
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Stevenage x Mansfield Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Stevenage x Mansfield, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Stevenage Stevenage
2.25
X
3.25
Mansfield Mansfield
3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stevenage x Mansfield:

🔮 Mansfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mansfield, you can win up to $1540.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Stevenage x Mansfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Stevenage in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mansfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 In the last 4 Stevenage matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Stevenage x Mansfield for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Stevenage X Mansfield – England FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Stevenage – Winning probability: 42.33% | Fair line: 2.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.43% | Fair line: 6.93
🔴 Mansfield – Winning probability: 43.24% | Fair line: 2.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Stevenage
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Stevenage and Mansfield.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Stevenage x Mansfield

Is it a good idea to bet on Stevenage?

🔵 Stevenage: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$545.00.

Should you bet on Mansfield?

🔴 Mansfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $894.40
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$324.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stevenage x Mansfield

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Stevenage
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stevenage x Mansfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Stevenage and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Stevenage.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mansfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stevenage x Mansfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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