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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Stjarnan x IA Akranes Betting tips for September 30 in Iceland Premier League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 16h15 Iceland Premier League
Stjarnan Stjarnan
PREDICTION No tip
IA Akranes IA Akranes
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Stjarnan x IA Akranes Betting tips for September 30 in Iceland Premier League

Our betting tip for Stjarnan x IA Akranes, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
16:15
Stjarnan Stjarnan
1.90
X
3.82
IA Akranes IA Akranes
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Stjarnan x IA Akranes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Stjarnan x IA Akranes

Some important points for the tip for Stjarnan x IA Akranes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stjarnan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $112.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on IA Akranes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Stjarnan scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against IA Akranes, Stjarnan scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Stjarnan x IA Akranes, with Stjarnan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, IA Akranes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Stjarnan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against IA Akranes.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Stjarnan x IA Akranes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Stjarnan x IA Akranes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Stjarnan x IA Akranes for the Iceland Premier League – 30 of September

🏟️ Stjarnan X IA Akranes – Iceland Premier League
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 16:15
πŸ”΅ Stjarnan – Winning probability: 50.78% | Fair line: 1.97
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.21% | Fair line: 4.5
πŸ”΄ IA Akranes – Winning probability: 27.00% | Fair line: 3.7
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stjarnan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Stjarnan x IA Akranes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Stjarnan x IA Akranes

Is it worth betting on Stjarnan?

πŸ”΅ Stjarnan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$31.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $620.40
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$159.60.

Is betting on IA Akranes worth it?

πŸ”΄ IA Akranes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stjarnan x IA Akranes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stjarnan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stjarnan x IA Akranes

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Stjarnan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Stjarnan.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stjarnan x IA Akranes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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