📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC
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Analysis from STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC for the Thailand Division 3 – 16 of January
🏟️ STK Muangnont FC X Samut Prakan FC – Thailand Division 3
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC
Is it a good idea to bet on STK Muangnont FC?
🔵 STK Muangnont FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $312.17;
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$67.83.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $623.70;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$156.30.
Should you bet on Samut Prakan FC?
🔴 Samut Prakan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 STK Muangnont FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 STK Muangnont FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 STK Muangnont FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Samut Prakan FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for STK Muangnont FC x Samut Prakan FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves