Stoke x Portsmouth Betting tips for October 2 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Stoke x Portsmouth, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 15:45

Stoke 1.68

X 4.04

Portsmouth 4.61

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stoke x Portsmouth:

🔮 Stoke wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Stoke, you can win up to $840.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Stoke x Portsmouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Stoke scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Portsmouth scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Portsmouth matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Stoke conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Portsmouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Stoke x Portsmouth?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Stoke x Portsmouth, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Stoke x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 2 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stoke x Portsmouth right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stoke x Portsmouth

Is it a good idea to bet on Stoke?

🔵 Stoke: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $448.80
• And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $486.40;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$353.60.

Should you bet on Portsmouth?

🔴 Portsmouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $649.80
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$170.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Stoke x Portsmouth

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Stoke
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stoke x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Stoke and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Stoke.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Stoke.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stoke x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.