📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Stranraer x Stirling
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Analysis from Stranraer x Stirling for the Scotland League Two – 15 of January
🏟️ Stranraer X Stirling – Scotland League Two
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Stranraer and Stirling.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Stranraer x Stirling
Should you bet on Stranraer?
🔵 Stranraer: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $828.00
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.
Should you bet on Stirling?
🔴 Stirling: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $547.40
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$112.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stranraer x Stirling
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stranraer
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stranraer x Stirling
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Stranraer, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Stranraer.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Stranraer.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stranraer x Stirling
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves