Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2
π
29/9/2024 09:00 |
Stroitel Rostov 2.70 |
X 3.20 |
Sevastopol 2.34 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol
Some important points for the tip for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol: π If you had bet $100 on Stroitel Rostov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-342.0. |
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Analysis from Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol for the Russia Division 2 – 29 of September
ποΈ Stroitel Rostov X Sevastopol – Russia Division 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Stroitel Rostov and Sevastopol.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol
Is it a good idea to bet on Stroitel Rostov?
π΅ Stroitel Rostov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $544.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$136.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $616.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$104.00.
Is betting on Sevastopol worth it?
π΄ Sevastopol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $549.40
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$40.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Stroitel Rostov
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Stroitel Rostov, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Stroitel Rostov.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sevastopol.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stroitel Rostov x Sevastopol
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.