SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

SU 1 Dezembro 1.80

X 3.30

Lusitania 3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania

Some important points for the tip for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SU 1 Dezembro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $168.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitania in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, SU 1 Dezembro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 SU 1 Dezembro matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, SU 1 Dezembro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania for the Portugal Liga 3 – 1 of December

When the best bet on SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania

Is it a good idea to bet on SU 1 Dezembro?

🔵 SU 1 Dezembro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $368.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$172.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $736.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$56.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Lusitania?

🔴 Lusitania: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $638.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SU 1 Dezembro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 SU 1 Dezembro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 SU 1 Dezembro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lusitania.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SU 1 Dezembro x Lusitania

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.