Sudtirol x Palermo Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 30/9/2024 14:30 |
 Sudtirol2.60 |
X 3.00 |
Palermo  2.72 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sudtirol x Palermo:
🔮 Palermo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palermo, you can win up to $1360.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Sudtirol x Palermo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palermo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0. |
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Analysis from Sudtirol x Palermo for the Italy Serie B – 30 of September
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🏟️ Sudtirol X Palermo – Italy Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sudtirol x Palermo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sudtirol x Palermo
Should you bet on Sudtirol?
🔵 Sudtirol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $16.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$974.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $200.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Is betting on Palermo worth it?
🔴 Palermo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 880 times – profiting $1513.60;
- And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$1393.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sudtirol x Palermo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sudtirol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sudtirol x Palermo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sudtirol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sudtirol.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Palermo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sudtirol x Palermo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
