Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai Betting tips for March 1 in Lithuania A Lyga
| 📅 1/3/2026 12:15 |
Suduva Marijampole1.78 |
X 3.39 |
FK Siauliai ![]() 3.92 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai:
🔮 Suduva Marijampole wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Suduva Marijampole, you can win up to $890.00!
Important information for your tip for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Suduva Marijampole in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Siauliai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FK Siauliai scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 FK Siauliai matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Suduva Marijampole conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FK Siauliai conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Suduva Marijampole has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FK Siauliai playing at home.
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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai:
Analysis from Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai for the Lithuania A Lyga – 1 of March
🏟️ Suduva Marijampole X FK Siauliai – Lithuania A Lyga
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 12:15
🔵 Suduva Marijampole – Winning probability: 77.61% | Fair line: 1.29
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.70% | Fair line: 7.87
🔴 FK Siauliai – Winning probability: 9.68% | Fair line: 10.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Suduva Marijampole
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Suduva Marijampole had a great Decreased of -15.40%: the market opened with odds of @1.909 for Suduva Marijampole and now the odds are @1.615.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Raised of 12.12%: the market opened with odds of @3.3 for Draw and now the odds are @3.7.
📊 The odds for FK Siauliai had a huge Raised of 28.57%: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for FK Siauliai and now the odds are @4.5.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.75 for Suduva Marijampole.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.50 and now is at 2.75 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1488879 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Should you bet on Suduva Marijampole?
🔵 Suduva Marijampole: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – profiting $608.40;
- And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$388.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $310.70
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$559.30.
Should you bet on FK Siauliai?
🔴 FK Siauliai: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $292.00
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$608.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Suduva Marijampole
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Suduva Marijampole and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Suduva Marijampole.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Suduva Marijampole.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai
Who is the favourite: Suduva Marijampole or FK Siauliai?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Suduva Marijampole, with an estimated chance of 77.61%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Suduva Marijampole or FK Siauliai?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Suduva Marijampole is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 77.61%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Suduva Marijampole beating FK Siauliai today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Suduva Marijampole to win approximately 78 of them against FK Siauliai.
What are the chances of FK Siauliai beating Suduva Marijampole today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that FK Siauliai would take victory in roughly 10 of them against Suduva Marijampole.
Which team should I bet on: Suduva Marijampole or FK Siauliai?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Suduva Marijampole wins as the best pick, with EV of 25.19%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Suduva Marijampole paying today? See what you can win by betting on Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai:
The odds for Suduva Marijampole to beat FK Siauliai today are around 1.78. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1780.00 if Suduva Marijampole wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is FK Siauliai paying today? See what you can win by betting on Suduva Marijampole x FK Siauliai:
The average odds for FK Siauliai to beat Suduva Marijampole today are 3.92. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3920.00 if FK Siauliai wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Suduva Marijampole