📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sutton Utd x Northampton
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Analysis from Sutton Utd x Northampton for the England League 2 – 22 of January
🏟️ Sutton Utd X Northampton – England League 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sutton Utd x Northampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sutton Utd x Northampton
Is betting on Sutton Utd worth it?
🔵 Sutton Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $501.00;
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$99.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $771.75
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$121.75.
Is it worth betting on Northampton?
🔴 Northampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $518.75;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$231.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sutton Utd x Northampton
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sutton Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sutton Utd x Northampton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sutton Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sutton Utd. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sutton Utd x Northampton
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves