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Home Β» Predictions Β» SV Dakota x United FC Betting tips for January 11 in Aruba Cup
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 01h00 Aruba Cup
SV Dakota SV Dakota
PREDICTION No tip
United FC United FC
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SV Dakota x United FC Betting tips for January 11 in Aruba Cup

Our betting tip for SV Dakota x United FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
01:00
SV Dakota SV Dakota
1.05
X
13.00
United FC United FC
29.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SV Dakota x United FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SV Dakota x United FC

Some important points for the tip for SV Dakota x United FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SV Dakota in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, SV Dakota scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 SV Dakota matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, SV Dakota conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for United FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from SV Dakota x United FC for the Aruba Cup – 11 of January

🏟️ SV Dakota X United FC – Aruba Cup
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ SV Dakota – Winning probability: 100.00% | Fair line: 1.0
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.00% | Fair line: 25464.08
πŸ”΄ United FC – Winning probability: 0.00% | Fair line: 4629222.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: -4.25 SV Dakota
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 11.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SV Dakota x United FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SV Dakota x United FC

Is it a good idea to bet on SV Dakota?

πŸ”΅ SV Dakota: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 100.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $50.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

Is betting on United FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ United FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 29.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SV Dakota x United FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -4.25 SV Dakota
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SV Dakota x United FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -4.25 SV Dakota, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -3.5 SV Dakota.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.5 SV Dakota.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SV Dakota x United FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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