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Home Β» Predictions Β» SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen Betting tips for October 1 in Austria Regionalliga Ost
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 14h30 Austria Regionalliga Ost
SV Leobendorf SV Leobendorf
PREDICTION No tip
FC Marchfeld Donauauen FC Marchfeld Donauauen
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SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen Betting tips for October 1 in Austria Regionalliga Ost

Our betting tip for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
πŸ“… 1/10/2024
14:30
SV Leobendorf SV Leobendorf
2.39
X
3.60
FC Marchfeld Donauauen FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2.49

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen

The main points for the tip for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SV Leobendorf in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-362.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Marchfeld Donauauen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC Marchfeld Donauauen, SV Leobendorf scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen for the Austria Regionalliga Ost – 1 of October

🏟️ SV Leobendorf X FC Marchfeld Donauauen – Austria Regionalliga Ost
πŸ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ SV Leobendorf – Winning probability: 45.81% | Fair line: 2.18
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.45% | Fair line: 4.66
πŸ”΄ FC Marchfeld Donauauen – Winning probability: 32.73% | Fair line: 3.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SV Leobendorf
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SV Leobendorf and FC Marchfeld Donauauen.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Is it worth betting on SV Leobendorf?

πŸ”΅ SV Leobendorf: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $639.40
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$99.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$244.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

πŸ”΄ FC Marchfeld Donauauen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $491.70;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$178.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SV Leobendorf
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SV Leobendorf and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SV Leobendorf.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 SV Leobendorf.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SV Leobendorf x FC Marchfeld Donauauen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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