Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains Betting tips for December 1 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 15:00

Swift Hesperange 1.43

X 4.35

US Mondorf-Les-Bains 5.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains:

🔮 Swift Hesperange wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Swift Hesperange, you can win up to $715.00!

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The main points for the tip for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Swift Hesperange in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Mondorf-Les-Bains in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 Swift Hesperange did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Swift Hesperange scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against US Mondorf-Les-Bains, Swift Hesperange scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains, with Swift Hesperange as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Swift Hesperange conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against US Mondorf-Les-Bains. 👉 Swift Hesperange is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 1 of December

When the best bet on Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Should you bet on Swift Hesperange?

🔵 Swift Hesperange: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $352.60;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$172.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $469.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$391.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on US Mondorf-Les-Bains?

🔴 US Mondorf-Les-Bains: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $180.80
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$779.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Swift Hesperange
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Swift Hesperange and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Swift Hesperange.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Swift Hesperange.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Swift Hesperange x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.