📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Swindon x Bristol Rovers
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Analysis from Swindon x Bristol Rovers for the England League 2 – 22 of January
🏟️ Swindon X Bristol Rovers – England League 2
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Swindon and Bristol Rovers.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Swindon x Bristol Rovers
Is it a good idea to bet on Swindon?
🔵 Swindon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $456.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.
Is betting on Bristol Rovers worth it?
🔴 Bristol Rovers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $675.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$75.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Swindon x Bristol Rovers
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Swindon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Swindon x Bristol Rovers
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Swindon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Swindon.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Swindon x Bristol Rovers
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves