π
18/1/2022 08:00 |
![]() 1.60 |
X 3.80 |
Central Coast Mariners ![]() 4.92 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners?
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Analysis from Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners for the Australia FFA Cup – 18 of January
ποΈ Sydney FC X Central Coast Mariners – Australia FFA Cup |
When the best bet on Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288868 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
Is it worth betting on Sydney FC?
π΅ Sydney FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $366.00
- And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$24.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $532.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$278.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Central Coast Mariners?
π΄ Central Coast Mariners: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $783.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$17.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sydney FC
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sydney FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sydney FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Central Coast Mariners.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sydney FC x Central Coast Mariners
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Tuesday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves