📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sydney FC x Perth Glory
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Analysis from Sydney FC x Perth Glory for the Australia A-League – 22 of January
🏟️ Sydney FC X Perth Glory – Australia A-League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sydney FC x Perth Glory right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sydney FC x Perth Glory
Is it a good idea to bet on Sydney FC?
🔵 Sydney FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 790 times – profiting $409.22;
- And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$199.22.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $455.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.
Should you bet on Perth Glory?
🔴 Perth Glory: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $332.50
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sydney FC x Perth Glory
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sydney FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sydney FC x Perth Glory
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sydney FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sydney FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sydney FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sydney FC x Perth Glory
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves