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Home » Predictions » Others » T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for March 11 in Wales Premier League
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 Wales Premier League
T.N.S. T.N.S.
PREDICTION T.N.S. wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
ODD: @1.13 Don't miss this prediction!

T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for March 11 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
📅 11/3/2025
19:45
T.N.S. T.N.S.
1.13
X
7.90
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
12.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town:

🔮 T.N.S. wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on T.N.S., you can win up to $565.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on T.N.S. in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $96.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, T.N.S. scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Caernarfon Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caernarfon Town, T.N.S. scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 T.N.S. matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town, with T.N.S. as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 T.N.S. is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League – 11 of March

🏟️ T.N.S. X Caernarfon Town – Wales Premier League
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 T.N.S. – Winning probability: 98.15% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.70% | Fair line: 58.85
🔴 Caernarfon Town – Winning probability: 0.15% | Fair line: 648.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 T.N.S.
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between T.N.S. and Caernarfon Town.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town

Is betting on T.N.S. worth it?

🔵 T.N.S.: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $127.40;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $138.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$842.00.

Should you bet on Caernarfon Town?

🔴 Caernarfon Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 T.N.S.
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 T.N.S., and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 T.N.S..

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Caernarfon Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for T.N.S. x Caernarfon Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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