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Home » Predictions » Others » Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn Betting tips for October 31 in Estonia Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 17h00 Estonia Cup
Tabasalu FC Charma Tabasalu FC Charma
PREDICTION FC Tallinn Wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
FC Tallinn FC Tallinn
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn Betting tips for October 31 in Estonia Cup

Our betting tip for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
17:00
Tabasalu FC Charma Tabasalu FC Charma
7.20
X
5.35
FC Tallinn FC Tallinn
1.27

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn:

🔮 FC Tallinn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Tallinn, you can win up to $635.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tabasalu FC Charma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Tallinn in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Tallinn scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Tallinn, Tabasalu FC Charma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Tabasalu FC Charma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tabasalu FC Charma conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 FC Tallinn is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn for the Estonia Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ Tabasalu FC Charma X FC Tallinn – Estonia Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Tabasalu FC Charma – Winning probability: 1.70% | Fair line: 58.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.12% | Fair line: 47.18
🔴 FC Tallinn – Winning probability: 96.18% | Fair line: 1.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Tabasalu FC Charma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn

Should you bet on Tabasalu FC Charma?

🔵 Tabasalu FC Charma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $124.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$856.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $87.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$893.00.

Is betting on FC Tallinn worth it?

🔴 FC Tallinn: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $259.20
  • And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$219.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Tabasalu FC Charma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Tabasalu FC Charma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Tabasalu FC Charma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 FC Tallinn.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tabasalu FC Charma x FC Tallinn

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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