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Home Β» Predictions Β» Tai Po x Lee Man FC Betting tips for January 11 in Hong Kong Premier League
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 07h00 Hong Kong Premier League
Tai Po Tai Po
PREDICTION No tip
Lee Man FC Lee Man FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Tai Po x Lee Man FC Betting tips for January 11 in Hong Kong Premier League

Our betting tip for Tai Po x Lee Man FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
07:00
Tai Po Tai Po
2.05
X
3.50
Lee Man FC Lee Man FC
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tai Po x Lee Man FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Tai Po x Lee Man FC

The main points for the tip for Tai Po x Lee Man FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tai Po in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $292.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lee Man FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-44.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tai Po scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Lee Man FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Tai Po x Lee Man FC, with Tai Po as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lee Man FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Tai Po conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lee Man FC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tai Po x Lee Man FC for the Hong Kong Premier League – 11 of January

🏟️ Tai Po X Lee Man FC – Hong Kong Premier League
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 07:00
πŸ”΅ Tai Po – Winning probability: 36.59% | Fair line: 2.73
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.80% | Fair line: 3.15
πŸ”΄ Lee Man FC – Winning probability: 31.61% | Fair line: 3.16
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tai Po
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tai Po x Lee Man FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tai Po x Lee Man FC

Is it worth betting on Tai Po?

πŸ”΅ Tai Po: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $388.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$241.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$120.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Lee Man FC?

πŸ”΄ Lee Man FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tai Po x Lee Man FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tai Po
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tai Po x Lee Man FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Tai Po, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tai Po.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lee Man FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tai Po x Lee Man FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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