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Home » Predictions » Others » El Masry x Talaea El Geish Betting tips for October 30 in Egypt Division 1
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h00 Egypt Division 1
El Masry El Masry
PREDICTION Talaea El Geish Wins Probability 36% 1 X 2
Talaea El Geish Talaea El Geish
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

El Masry x Talaea El Geish Betting tips for October 30 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for El Masry x Talaea El Geish, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:00
El Masry El Masry
3.71
X
2.92
Talaea El Geish Talaea El Geish
2.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for El Masry x Talaea El Geish:

🔮 Talaea El Geish wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Talaea El Geish, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for El Masry x Talaea El Geish:

👉 If you had bet $100 on El Masry in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Talaea El Geish in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, El Masry scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Talaea El Geish scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Talaea El Geish, El Masry scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between El Masry x Talaea El Geish, with El Masry as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Talaea El Geish conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 El Masry has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Talaea El Geish playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from El Masry x Talaea El Geish for the Egypt Division 1 – 30 of October

🏟️ El Masry X Talaea El Geish – Egypt Division 1
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 El Masry – Winning probability: 34.03% | Fair line: 2.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
🔴 Talaea El Geish – Winning probability: 36.56% | Fair line: 2.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 El Masry
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between El Masry and Talaea El Geish.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for El Masry x Talaea El Geish

Is it worth betting on El Masry?

🔵 El Masry: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $921.40;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$261.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$153.20.

Is it worth betting on Talaea El Geish?

🔴 Talaea El Geish: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $388.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$241.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match El Masry x Talaea El Geish

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 El Masry
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Masry x Talaea El Geish

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 El Masry, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 El Masry. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Masry x Talaea El Geish

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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