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Tamworth x Brackley Betting tips for November 21 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Tamworth x Brackley, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Tamworth Tamworth
1.89
X
3.28
Brackley Brackley
3.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tamworth x Brackley:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tamworth wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tamworth, you can win up to $945.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tamworth x Brackley:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tamworth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brackley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tamworth scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brackley, Tamworth scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Tamworth conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Brackley.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Tamworth x Brackley

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tamworth x Brackley?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tamworth x Brackley, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tamworth x Brackley for the England National League North – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tamworth X Brackley – England National League North
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Tamworth – Winning probability: 56.38% | Fair line: 1.77
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.77% | Fair line: 3.48
๐Ÿ”ด Brackley – Winning probability: 14.85% | Fair line: 6.74
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tamworth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tamworth x Brackley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tamworth x Brackley

Is it a good idea to bet on Tamworth?

๐Ÿ”ต Tamworth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $498.40;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$58.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $661.20
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$48.80.

Is it worth betting on Brackley?

๐Ÿ”ด Brackley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$445.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tamworth x Brackley

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tamworth
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tamworth x Brackley

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Tamworth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Tamworth.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tamworth x Brackley

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves