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Home » Predictions » Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor Betting tips for February 5 in Mexico Copa Conecta
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 02h00 Mexico Copa Conecta
Tapatíos Soccer FC Tapatíos Soccer FC
PREDICTION Club Calor Wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Club Calor Club Calor
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor Betting tips for February 5 in Mexico Copa Conecta

Our betting tip for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
02:00
Tapatíos Soccer FC Tapatíos Soccer FC
2.80
X
3.20
Club Calor Club Calor
2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor:

🔮 Club Calor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Calor, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor:

👉 Tapatíos Soccer FC did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tapatíos Soccer FC scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club Calor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Tapatíos Soccer FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Tapatíos Soccer FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor for the Mexico Copa Conecta – 5 of February

🏟️ Tapatíos Soccer FC X Club Calor – Mexico Copa Conecta
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Tapatíos Soccer FC – Winning probability: 27.44% | Fair line: 3.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.15% | Fair line: 5.51
🔴 Club Calor – Winning probability: 54.41% | Fair line: 1.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tapatíos Soccer FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257615 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor

Should you bet on Tapatíos Soccer FC?

🔵 Tapatíos Soccer FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on Club Calor?

🔴 Club Calor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$188.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tapatíos Soccer FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tapatíos Soccer FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Tapatíos Soccer FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tapatíos Soccer FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatíos Soccer FC x Club Calor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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