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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Taunton Town x Worthing Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League South
Taunton Town Taunton Town
PREDICTION No tip
Worthing Worthing
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Taunton Town x Worthing Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Taunton Town x Worthing, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Taunton Town Taunton Town
2.51
X
3.32
Worthing Worthing
2.47

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Taunton Town x Worthing:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Taunton Town x Worthing

The main points for the tip for Taunton Town x Worthing:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Taunton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Worthing in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Taunton Town x Worthing

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Taunton Town x Worthing?

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Analysis from Taunton Town x Worthing for the England National League South – 25 of November

🏟️ Taunton Town X Worthing – England National League South
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Taunton Town – Winning probability: 26.08% | Fair line: 3.83
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.70% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ Worthing – Winning probability: 45.22% | Fair line: 2.21
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Taunton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Taunton Town and Worthing.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Taunton Town x Worthing

Is it worth betting on Taunton Town?

πŸ”΅ Taunton Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $392.60;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$347.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $672.80
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$37.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Worthing?

πŸ”΄ Worthing: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $661.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$111.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Taunton Town x Worthing

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Taunton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Taunton Town x Worthing

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Taunton Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Taunton Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Worthing.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Taunton Town x Worthing

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves