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Home » Predictions » Others » Team Altamura x Casertana Betting tips for March 12 in Italy Serie C Group C
Wednesday, 12 March 2025, 17h30 Italy Serie C Group C
Team Altamura Team Altamura
PREDICTION No tip
Casertana Casertana
Don't miss this prediction!

Team Altamura x Casertana Betting tips for March 12 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Team Altamura x Casertana, Wednesday, 12/3/2025
📅 12/3/2025
17:30
Team Altamura Team Altamura
1.80
X
3.00
Casertana Casertana
4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Team Altamura x Casertana:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Team Altamura x Casertana

Some important points for the tip for Team Altamura x Casertana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Team Altamura in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-399.0.
👉 In the last 3 Team Altamura matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Team Altamura conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Team Altamura x Casertana for the Italy Serie C Group C – 12 of March

🏟️ Team Altamura X Casertana – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 12 of March, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Team Altamura – Winning probability: 43.39% | Fair line: 2.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.03% | Fair line: 3.33
🔴 Casertana – Winning probability: 26.58% | Fair line: 3.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Team Altamura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Team Altamura and Casertana.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280306 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Team Altamura x Casertana

Is it a good idea to bet on Team Altamura?

🔵 Team Altamura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $344.00
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$226.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Casertana?

🔴 Casertana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $945.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$215.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Team Altamura x Casertana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Team Altamura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Team Altamura x Casertana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Team Altamura and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Team Altamura.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Casertana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Team Altamura x Casertana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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