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Home » Predictions » Others » Telstar x PSV Reserves Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h15 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Telstar Telstar
PREDICTION Telstar wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
PSV Reserves PSV Reserves
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Telstar x PSV Reserves Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Telstar x PSV Reserves, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:15
Telstar Telstar
1.44
X
4.60
PSV Reserves PSV Reserves
5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Telstar x PSV Reserves:

🔮 Telstar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Telstar, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Telstar x PSV Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Telstar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Telstar scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 PSV Reserves matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Telstar matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, PSV Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Telstar has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against PSV Reserves playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Telstar x PSV Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 12 of January

🏟️ Telstar X PSV Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:15
🔵 Telstar – Winning probability: 84.52% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.87% | Fair line: 10.13
🔴 PSV Reserves – Winning probability: 5.61% | Fair line: 17.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Telstar and PSV Reserves.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Telstar x PSV Reserves

Is betting on Telstar worth it?

🔵 Telstar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $374.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$540.00.

Is betting on PSV Reserves worth it?

🔴 PSV Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $270.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$670.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Telstar x PSV Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Telstar x PSV Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Telstar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Telstar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 PSV Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Telstar x PSV Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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