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Home » Predictions » Others » Tenerife x CD Castellon Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Segunda
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h30 Spain Segunda
Tenerife Tenerife
PREDICTION No tip
CD Castellon CD Castellon
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Tenerife x CD Castellon Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Tenerife x CD Castellon, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:30
Tenerife Tenerife
2.45
X
3.14
CD Castellon CD Castellon
2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tenerife x CD Castellon:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tenerife x CD Castellon

Important information for your tip for Tenerife x CD Castellon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tenerife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Castellon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tenerife conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Tenerife x CD Castellon for the Spain Segunda – 11 of January

🏟️ Tenerife X CD Castellon – Spain Segunda
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Tenerife – Winning probability: 32.42% | Fair line: 3.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.64% | Fair line: 3.37
🔴 CD Castellon – Winning probability: 37.93% | Fair line: 2.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tenerife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tenerife x CD Castellon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tenerife x CD Castellon

Should you bet on Tenerife?

🔵 Tenerife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$216.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $642.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$58.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on CD Castellon worth it?

🔴 CD Castellon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $665.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$45.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tenerife x CD Castellon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tenerife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tenerife x CD Castellon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Tenerife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Tenerife.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CD Castellon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tenerife x CD Castellon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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