Tenerife x Elche Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Tenerife x Elche, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 20:00

Tenerife 2.70

X 2.80

Elche 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tenerife x Elche:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Tenerife x Elche

The main points for the tip for Tenerife x Elche: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tenerife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Elche in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Elche scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Elche has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Tenerife x Elche for the Spain Segunda – 30 of November

When the best bet on Tenerife x Elche is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tenerife x Elche

Is it worth betting on Tenerife?

🔵 Tenerife: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $442.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $648.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Elche?

🔴 Elche: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $684.00;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tenerife x Elche

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tenerife
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tenerife x Elche

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Tenerife, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Tenerife.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Elche.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tenerife x Elche

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.