Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan FC 2.45

X 3.20

Venados FC 2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC

The main points for the tip for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Venados FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Tepatitlan FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tepatitlan FC and Venados FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244472 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Tepatitlan FC?

🔵 Tepatitlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $609.00;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$29.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $682.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Venados FC worth it?

🔴 Venados FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $418.50
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tepatitlan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Tepatitlan FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.