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Home » Predictions » Termoli x Castelfidardo Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Termoli Termoli
PREDICTION No tip
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
Don't miss this prediction!

Termoli x Castelfidardo Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Termoli x Castelfidardo, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
Termoli Termoli
2.75
X
3.10
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
2.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Termoli x Castelfidardo:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Termoli x Castelfidardo

The main points for the tip for Termoli x Castelfidardo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Castelfidardo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $468.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Castelfidardo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Termoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Termoli x Castelfidardo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Termoli x Castelfidardo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Termoli x Castelfidardo for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Termoli X Castelfidardo – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Termoli – Winning probability: 29.29% | Fair line: 3.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.90% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Castelfidardo – Winning probability: 37.82% | Fair line: 2.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Termoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Termoli x Castelfidardo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Termoli x Castelfidardo

Is betting on Termoli worth it?

🔵 Termoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $507.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Castelfidardo?

🔴 Castelfidardo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $516.80;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Termoli x Castelfidardo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Termoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Termoli x Castelfidardo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Termoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Termoli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Castelfidardo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Termoli x Castelfidardo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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