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Ternana x Ascoli Betting tips for December 26 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Ternana x Ascoli, Sunday, 26/12/2021
๐Ÿ“… 26/12/2021
17:00
Ternana
2.07
X
3.25
Ascoli
3.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ternana x Ascoli:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ternana wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ternana, you can win up to $1035.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ternana x Ascoli

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ternana x Ascoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ternana x Ascoli, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2021. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ternana x Ascoli for the Italy Serie B – 26 of December

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ternana X Ascoli – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 26 of December, 2021 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ternana – Winning probability: 54.06% | Fair line: 1.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.43% | Fair line: 3.93
๐Ÿ”ด Ascoli – Winning probability: 20.51% | Fair line: 4.88
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ternana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ternana and Ascoli.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ternana x Ascoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Ternana?

๐Ÿ”ต Ternana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $577.80;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$117.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $563.75
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$186.25.

Should you bet on Ascoli?

๐Ÿ”ด Ascoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $498.75
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$291.25.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ternana x Ascoli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ternana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Ternana x Ascoli

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ternana and the available handicap to bet at that moment is -0.25 Ternana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ternana.

Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Ternana x Ascoli

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicapmarket.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Follow our tips on YouTube too

Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!

Join our betting tips group on Telegram

Do you want to get more tips on your cellphone on this Sunday? Besides the predictions made by our artificial intelligence algorithms for Ternana x Ascoli that you check here, on our Telegram group our experts select the highest value bets to share with you. And the best: it is free! Click on the banner below and start receiving our tips today:

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves