Ternana x Gubbio Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie C Group B
| 📅 11/1/2025 16:30 |
 Ternana1.35 |
X 4.20 |
Gubbio  8.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ternana x Gubbio:
🔮 Ternana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ternana, you can win up to $675.00!
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Important information for your tip for Ternana x Gubbio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ternana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-44.0. |
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Analysis from Ternana x Gubbio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 11 of January
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🏟️ Ternana X Gubbio – Italy Serie C Group B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ternana and Gubbio.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ternana x Gubbio
Should you bet on Ternana?
🔵 Ternana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $294.00
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$134.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $384.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Gubbio?
🔴 Gubbio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ternana x Gubbio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Ternana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ternana x Gubbio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Ternana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ternana.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Ternana.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ternana x Gubbio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
