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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani Betting tips for March 11 in Albania Championship
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 15h30 Albania Championship
Teuta Durres Teuta Durres
PREDICTION No tip
Af Elbasani Af Elbasani
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Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani Betting tips for March 11 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
15:30
Teuta Durres Teuta Durres
2.17
X
2.90
Af Elbasani Af Elbasani
3.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani

Important information for your tip for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Teuta Durres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AF Elbasani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, AF Elbasani scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, AF Elbasani conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, AF Elbasani has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani for the Albania Championship – 11 of March

🏟️ Teuta Durres X Af Elbasani – Albania Championship
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Teuta Durres – Winning probability: 35.74% | Fair line: 2.8
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.53% | Fair line: 2.98
πŸ”΄ Af Elbasani – Winning probability: 30.73% | Fair line: 3.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Teuta Durres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Teuta Durres and Af Elbasani.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1279005 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani

Is it a good idea to bet on Teuta Durres?

πŸ”΅ Teuta Durres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $421.20;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$218.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Should you bet on Af Elbasani?

πŸ”΄ Af Elbasani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $700.60;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Teuta Durres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Teuta Durres, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Teuta Durres.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Af Elbasani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Teuta Durres x Af Elbasani

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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