📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Teuta Durres x Laci
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Analysis from Teuta Durres x Laci for the Albania Championship – 22 of January
🏟️ Teuta Durres X Laci – Albania Championship
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Teuta Durres and Laci.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Teuta Durres x Laci
Is it worth betting on Teuta Durres?
🔵 Teuta Durres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $506.90;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$123.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $499.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.50.
Should you bet on Laci?
🔴 Laci: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $749.52;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$109.52.
Handicaps analysis for the match Teuta Durres x Laci
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Teuta Durres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Teuta Durres x Laci
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Teuta Durres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Teuta Durres.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Laci.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Teuta Durres x Laci
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves